Global Extreme Weather and Climate Change Dashboard

Check out the US Dashboard

Tornadoes

Storms -- tropical cyclones, extratropical cyclones, and severe convective storms combined -- account for the largest share of both global weather/climate economic losses (about 56%) and deaths (about 27%), 1980-2025 (see Loss Normalization). US tornado counts here come from NCEI Storm Events (the only rigorous long tornado record outside Europe's ESWD), paired with global convective instability (CAPE, from ARCO-ERA5) as a worldwide proxy for severe-thunderstorm-favorable conditions. The US accounts for roughly 75% of the world's known tornadoes, the basis for using it as the global severe-convective-storm indicator here.

Summary Judgment

Not directly comparable with IPCC AR6

Significant tornadoes (F/EF2+, 1980-2025) show no detected change, a real finding over a now-adequate 46-year record; the all-tornado total still renders no verdict (record under the 30-year minimum until 2027). Global CAPE (a longer record) shows detected changes, but in mixed directions across its series -- not scored against AR6's low-confidence storm-characteristics finding either way.

IPCC finding (AR6 WG1 Ch.11 Executive Summary): "There is low confidence in past trends in characteristics of severe convective storms, such as hail and severe winds, beyond an increase in precipitation rates." — see the full Detection & Attribution comparison for every phenomenon this site tracks.

Variables on this page

Every variable below is evaluated over a full reliable-trend window against the combined "detected change" standard (IPCC's likelihood criterion plus a magnitude-vs-variability check -- see the homepage or Methodology for the full definitions). Shown as alternative ways of characterizing this same phenomenon -- some from independent sources, others a different construction on the same underlying data (each variable's note says which).

VariableFindingSource
US significant tornado count (F/EF2+)Computing…NCEI Storm Events Database (reconstructed tornado tracks)
Mean global CAPEComputing…ARCO-ERA5 (ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis, Google Cloud mirror)
Days with widespread or extreme instabilityComputing…ARCO-ERA5 (ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis, Google Cloud mirror)

Tornadoes (United States)

Annual

US tornado counts, drawn directly from the sibling US Extreme Weather Dashboard's pipeline -- no unified global tornado database exists beyond Europe's ESWD; see the Convective Instability (CAPE) panel below for the best available global proxy. Unit: tornadoes per year.

Source: NCEI Storm Events Database (reconstructed tornado tracks)

Computing trend…

Defaults to significant tornadoes (F/EF2+), far less exposed to the NEXRAD-era weak-tornado detection jump than F/EF0, F/EF1, or the all-tornado total -- see Methodology for the record-length basis behind each level's window. Select a tornado intensity level (F/EF0 through F/EF5) above, or the all-tornado total, via the Series or Time period controls; the CAPE proxy below pairs with this page too.

No unified global tornado database exists — the US (NCEI Storm Events, shown above) and Europe (ESWD) hold the only regions with a rigorous long tornado record, and NOAA/NSSL's international tornado climatology puts the US at roughly 75% of the world's known tornadoes (Canada adds another ~5%, so North America accounts for about 80%). That concentration reflects the Great Plains/Midwest's unmatched combination of moist Gulf of Mexico air, dry continental air aloft, and jet-stream wind shear — not an artifact of the US simply reporting more thoroughly than everywhere else. Because a true global tornado count isn't available, the panel below uses convective instability (CAPE) as the best available global proxy for severe-thunderstorm-favorable conditions, not a tornado count itself.

Convective Instability (CAPE)

Annual

Global mean Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE), a proxy for severe-thunderstorm-favorable atmospheric instability -- the global counterpart to the US dashboard's CONUS CAPE variable, same source, same single-snapshot-per-day (12Z UTC) construction. Unit: J/kg, global 12Z mean.

Source: ARCO-ERA5 (ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis, Google Cloud mirror)

Computing trend…

Averages a single 12Z UTC CAPE snapshot per day across the globe. See Methodology for the diurnal-sampling limitation and the day-count metrics below.

Widespread / High-CAPE Days

Annual

Annual count of days meeting an instability threshold computed relative to this record's distribution -- 'widespread' (top decile of global %-area-at-moderate-CAPE) and 'high-CAPE' (top decile of the single most unstable grid cell on Earth that day). Unit: days per year.

Source: ARCO-ERA5 (ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis, Google Cloud mirror)

Computing trend…

Counts days meeting a percentile-relative instability threshold (top decile of the record's distribution), selectable above as "widespread" (area-based) or "high-CAPE" (peak-cell-based). See Methodology for why this site uses percentile thresholds rather than fixed absolute ones.